Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 6.615644 7.306184 8.072267 8.991818 10.074536 11.320190 12.878452
2024-10-06 5.698914 6.657680 7.817225 9.351720 11.375284 14.024168 17.885473
2024-10-13 4.902526 5.911556 7.194185 8.994886 11.548129 15.198478 21.158177
2024-10-20 4.338047 5.349200 6.681248 8.634930 11.563896 16.059653 24.149116
2024-10-27 3.951304 4.962691 6.335201 8.424685 11.714528 17.103029 27.755419
2024-11-03 3.679106 4.696999 6.115704 8.350750 12.036388 18.469906 32.491524
2024-11-10 3.609147 4.700322 6.271962 8.857089 13.384064 21.998711 43.636491
2024-11-17 3.466989 4.583744 6.233184 9.039510 14.198380 24.759188 54.964753
2024-11-24 3.260168 4.353840 5.996725 8.857219 14.297525 26.040644 63.190364
2024-12-01 3.109929 4.196654 5.858122 8.822498 14.671022 28.063004 75.815340
2024-12-08 2.941364 3.999585 5.638631 8.616828 14.658880 29.149220 86.249990
2024-12-15 2.804289 3.842264 5.470985 8.485515 14.779211 30.628880 100.503987
2024-12-22 2.707246 3.751626 5.422740 8.603930 15.548755 34.473134 136.171573
2024-12-29 2.649267 3.720888 5.476034 8.933305 16.914023 41.040462 216.190330
2025-01-05 2.490723 3.516698 5.212633 8.599324 16.597987 41.876118 254.307018
2025-01-12 2.346225 3.327219 4.961306 8.262238 16.211456 42.322981 294.282251
2025-01-19 2.235303 3.186877 4.786909 8.065157 16.153525 44.067461 371.159454
2025-01-26 2.152038 3.087797 4.679074 7.995816 16.426969 47.407717 528.803485
2025-02-02 2.149049 3.122707 4.816060 8.470328 18.353474 60.041694 1565.144396
2025-02-09 2.105547 3.085568 4.816118 8.641076 19.451098 70.092668 5419.298993
2025-02-16 2.023751 2.977845 4.675055 8.470450 19.434526 73.684563 14948.506203
2025-02-23 1.963701 2.905157 4.596339 8.437938 19.870837 80.976670 867858.820349
2025-03-02 1.889459 2.804153 4.456682 8.245275 19.722685 84.065486 NaN